Minority Report

Belleville, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Republic County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)49°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average50°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)42°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°0%
German model (ICON)46°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°21°0%
The average45°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°7%
US model (GFS)49°26°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°23°8%
The average47°29°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°12%
US model (GFS)49°41°9%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°2%
German model (ICON)52°37°9%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°20%
The average50°34°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.