Belmont, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allegany County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 43° Low 34° Rain 87%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 28° | 52% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 84% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 35° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 35° | 100% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 87% |
High 36° Low 31° Rain 64%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 27° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 32° | 41% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 32° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 32° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 35° | 32° | 81% |
| The average | 36° | 31° | 64% |
High 38° Low 31° Rain 59%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 29° | 59% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 32° | 56% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 32° | 60% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 32° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 32° | 67% |
| The average | 38° | 31° | 59% |
High 38° Low 32° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 28° | 47% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 29° | 56% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 34° | 60% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 31% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 34° | 64% |
| The average | 38° | 32° | 52% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.