Minority Report

Beloit, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mitchell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)53°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average53°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)44°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
German model (ICON)48°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°22°0%
The average47°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 8%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°36°20%
US model (GFS)49°28°5%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°2%
German model (ICON)51°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°11%
The average49°31°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 19%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°17%
US model (GFS)46°39°14%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°8%
German model (ICON)54°40°16%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°38%
The average50°34°19%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.