Minority Report

Belton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)79°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°55°0%
German model (ICON)77°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°51°0%
The average77°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°48°0%
US model (GFS)76°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°54°0%
German model (ICON)73°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°45°0%
The average74°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 50°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 49%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°50°50%
US model (GFS)67°49°28%
European model (ECMWF)67°53°79%
German model (ICON)59°50°78%
Canadian model (GEM)70°48°12%
The average66°50°49%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 50°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 82%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°47°85%
US model (GFS)64°53°59%
European model (ECMWF)59°50°92%
German model (ICON)56°50°85%
Canadian model (GEM)64°50°88%
The average61°50°82%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.