Minority Report

Bemidji, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Beltrami County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35°   Low 24°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—20°0%
US model (GFS)36°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)35°28°49%
German model (ICON)33°27°3%
Canadian model (GEM)35°19°0%
The average35°24°10%

Friday, November 13

High 34°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°20°0%
US model (GFS)32°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)35°25°0%
German model (ICON)33°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)34°15°0%
The average34°22°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°23°0%
US model (GFS)41°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°25°0%
German model (ICON)40°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°14°0%
The average40°23°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°0%
US model (GFS)45°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°21°0%
The average45°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.