Minority Report

Bend, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Deschutes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 46°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°9%
US model (GFS)67°45°1%
European model (ECMWF)66°43°0%
German model (ICON)65°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°45°0%
The average66°46°2%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 86%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°35°91%
US model (GFS)53°34°75%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°99%
German model (ICON)53°41°95%
Canadian model (GEM)58°38°70%
The average54°38°86%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 38°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 28%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°74%
US model (GFS)44°34°24%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°16%
German model (ICON)48°40°14%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°14%
The average49°38°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 61%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°74%
US model (GFS)46°38°60%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°70%
German model (ICON)47°36°63%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°38%
The average48°36°61%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.