Minority Report

Benjamin, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Knox County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)77°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°47°0%
German model (ICON)77°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°42°0%
The average77°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°48°0%
US model (GFS)66°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)62°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°41°0%
The average65°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 47°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 90%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°50°93%
US model (GFS)66°43°84%
European model (ECMWF)54°49°100%
German model (ICON)54°47°86%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°86%
The average58°47°90%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 45°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 19°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 84%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°44°54%
US model (GFS)69°47°84%
European model (ECMWF)53°46°100%
German model (ICON)50°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°86%
The average57°45°84%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.