Minority Report

Benkelman, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dundy County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)63°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°37°0%
German model (ICON)63°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°33°0%
The average62°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°1%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)55°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°32°0%
The average56°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 33%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 33%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°30%
US model (GFS)52°27°28%
European model (ECMWF)51°39°29%
German model (ICON)53°37°23%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°53%
The average51°34°33%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°5%
US model (GFS)46°41°22%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°19%
German model (ICON)47°40°28%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°50%
The average48°37°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.