Minority Report

Bennington County, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bennington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°96%
US model (GFS)39°35°96%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°100%
German model (ICON)41°33°100%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°100%
The average40°33°98%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 27°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 87%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°26°54%
US model (GFS)35°30°83%
European model (ECMWF)35°27°100%
German model (ICON)34°30°100%
Canadian model (GEM)34°25°100%
The average35°27°87%

Saturday, November 14

High 34°   Low 28°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 50%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°28°38%
US model (GFS)34°29°33%
European model (ECMWF)35°24°81%
German model (ICON)33°29°55%
Canadian model (GEM)34°27°43%
The average34°28°50%

Sunday, November 15

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 33%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 33%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°26°38%
US model (GFS)35°25°21%
European model (ECMWF)36°29°47%
German model (ICON)35°31°28%
Canadian model (GEM)36°31°30%
The average36°28°33%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.