Minority Report

Benton, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Saline County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)70°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°49°0%
German model (ICON)67°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°49°0%
The average68°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average55°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°1%
US model (GFS)55°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°35°1%
German model (ICON)53°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average53°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 31%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 31%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°36°25%
US model (GFS)58°39°24%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°36%
German model (ICON)56°33°45%
Canadian model (GEM)55°37°26%
The average55°36°31%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.