Minority Report

Benton, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°2%
US model (GFS)54°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°8%
German model (ICON)55°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average55°37°3%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°3%
US model (GFS)44°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°0%
The average46°33°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)50°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average49°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.