Minority Report

Benton, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 38°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)59°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°42°39%
German model (ICON)59°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°38°6%
The average60°38°9%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)45°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°29°0%
The average46°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°2%
US model (GFS)54°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°20°0%
The average54°30°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.