Minority Report

Benton, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Polk County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 90 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 67%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°10%
US model (GFS)60°47°71%
European model (ECMWF)62°50°78%
German model (ICON)61°48°78%
Canadian model (GEM)59°49°100%
The average60°45°67%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°4%
US model (GFS)48°38°3%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°9%
German model (ICON)49°40°5%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°31%
The average49°37°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°24%
The average51°32°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°1%
US model (GFS)53°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°24°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.