Minority Report

Berkeley Springs, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 43°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°15%
US model (GFS)55°42°28%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°71%
German model (ICON)58°44°75%
Canadian model (GEM)57°46°29%
The average58°43°44%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°23%
US model (GFS)44°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°29%
German model (ICON)47°36°40%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°33%
The average47°35°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°7%
US model (GFS)45°28°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°2%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°7%
The average46°34°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°8%
German model (ICON)49°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°0%
The average48°37°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.