Minority Report

Berkshire County, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Berkshire County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 35°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°99%
US model (GFS)41°34°91%
European model (ECMWF)40°36°100%
German model (ICON)41°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°100%
The average41°35°98%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°28°73%
US model (GFS)35°30°96%
European model (ECMWF)36°29°100%
German model (ICON)36°30°100%
Canadian model (GEM)36°24°100%
The average36°28°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 35°   Low 27°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 16%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°29°19%
US model (GFS)34°29°13%
European model (ECMWF)36°26°16%
German model (ICON)35°28°25%
Canadian model (GEM)34°24°5%
The average35°27°16%

Sunday, November 15

High 37°   Low 29°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°28°19%
US model (GFS)37°27°13%
European model (ECMWF)38°30°12%
German model (ICON)38°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)36°31°2%
The average37°29°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.