Minority Report

Bernalillo, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sandoval County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)66°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°0%
German model (ICON)65°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°26°0%
The average65°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 36°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 47%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°41°45%
US model (GFS)65°37°30%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°80%
German model (ICON)64°34°55%
Canadian model (GEM)64°23°24%
The average64°36°47%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 76%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°68%
US model (GFS)56°42°68%
European model (ECMWF)51°42°100%
German model (ICON)51°43°88%
Canadian model (GEM)54°39°57%
The average54°40°76%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°36°0%
US model (GFS)55°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°2%
German model (ICON)58°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°30°0%
The average57°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.