Minority Report

Bessemer, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gogebic County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 33°   Low 29°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°54%
US model (GFS)33°30°16%
European model (ECMWF)33°29°100%
German model (ICON)34°31°98%
Canadian model (GEM)32°30°96%
The average33°29°73%

Friday, November 13

High 32°   Low 29°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service32°28°59%
US model (GFS)32°30°24%
European model (ECMWF)33°29°85%
German model (ICON)33°30°63%
Canadian model (GEM)32°27°38%
The average32°29°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 37°   Low 24°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°22°0%
US model (GFS)38°25°1%
European model (ECMWF)36°25°0%
German model (ICON)38°29°5%
Canadian model (GEM)36°20°6%
The average37°24°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°0%
US model (GFS)44°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°24°0%
German model (ICON)43°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°18°0%
The average43°23°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.