Bethel Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bethel Census Area.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 23° Low 17° Rain 55%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 82 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 24° | 18° | 55% |
| US model (GFS) | 23° | 14° | 58% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 24° | 20° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 23° | 16° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 22° | 18° | 100% |
| The average | 23° | 17° | 55% |
High 21° Low 14° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 23° | 15° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 18° | 11° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 23° | 19° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 22° | 15° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 20° | 12° | 54% |
| The average | 21° | 14° | 28% |
High 19° Low 11° Rain 20%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 20° | 10° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 16° | 8° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 22° | 18° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 22° | 12° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 16° | 6° | 57% |
| The average | 19° | 11° | 20% |
High 17° Low 7° Rain 18%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 19° | 13° | 33% |
| US model (GFS) | 15° | 7° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 19° | 12° | 9% |
| German model (ICON) | 18° | 9° | 14% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 14° | -5° | 25% |
| The average | 17° | 7° | 18% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.