Beulah, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Benzie County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 35° Rain 80%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 91% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 36° | 41% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 36° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 36° | 90% |
| The average | 45° | 35° | 80% |
High 40° Low 34° Rain 75%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 33° | 81% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 63% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 34° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 33° | 70% |
| The average | 40° | 34° | 75% |
High 43° Low 37° Rain 51%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 32° | 53% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 37° | 20% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 38° | 81% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 39° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 37° | 53% |
| The average | 43° | 37° | 51% |
High 45° Low 35° Rain 6%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 32° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 41° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 32° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 6% |
| The average | 45° | 35° | 6% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.