Big Rapids, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mecosta County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 32° Rain 63%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 88 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 26° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 45% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 94% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 32° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 34° | 96% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 63% |
High 41° Low 29° Rain 10%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 26° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 27° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 29° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 31° | 11% |
| The average | 41° | 29° | 10% |
High 43° Low 32° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 28° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 35° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 31° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 33° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 35° | 14% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 6% |
High 45° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 26° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.