Minority Report

Big Spring, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Howard County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)74°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°47°0%
German model (ICON)72°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°43°0%
The average72°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 46°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°51°29%
US model (GFS)72°46°2%
European model (ECMWF)69°47°0%
German model (ICON)69°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°41°0%
The average70°46°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 52°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 77%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°53°63%
US model (GFS)64°50°65%
European model (ECMWF)68°52°94%
German model (ICON)66°54°78%
Canadian model (GEM)70°51°84%
The average66°52°77%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 22%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°45°4%
US model (GFS)68°50°34%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°33%
German model (ICON)63°46°25%
Canadian model (GEM)64°42°14%
The average64°46°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.