Birmingham, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 66° Low 47° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 50° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 50° | 71% |
| German model (ICON) | 65° | 49° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 50° | 39% |
| The average | 66° | 47° | 30% |
High 53° Low 36° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 36° | 0% |
High 54° Low 33° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 33° | 0% |
High 57° Low 34° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 36° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 40° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 33° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 57° | 34° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.