Minority Report

Bisbee, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cochise County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)66°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°47°0%
German model (ICON)66°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°44°0%
The average67°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 45°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 60%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°45°50%
US model (GFS)61°44°59%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°96%
German model (ICON)60°48°68%
Canadian model (GEM)61°43°29%
The average61°45°60%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°43°1%
US model (GFS)58°43°2%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°6%
German model (ICON)58°47°5%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°10%
The average59°44°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°44°0%
US model (GFS)60°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)61°42°3%
German model (ICON)61°44°5%
Canadian model (GEM)61°36°0%
The average61°42°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.