Minority Report

Bison, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perkins County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)36°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°0%
German model (ICON)39°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°0%
The average40°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)35°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)40°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average43°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)48°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°32°0%
The average49°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°35°0%
The average57°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.