Minority Report

Black River Falls, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°11%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°34°4%
German model (ICON)40°31°15%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°5%
The average40°30°7%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°21°1%
US model (GFS)38°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)38°28°0%
German model (ICON)42°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°24°0%
The average40°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°22°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)43°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°19°0%
The average43°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°23°0%
US model (GFS)46°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°25°0%
German model (ICON)48°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°12°0%
The average46°23°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.