Minority Report

Bland, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 37°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 61%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°49%
US model (GFS)50°38°49%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°88%
German model (ICON)51°39°50%
Canadian model (GEM)53°38°71%
The average51°37°61%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 33%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°26%
US model (GFS)39°32°37%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°42%
German model (ICON)40°34°28%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°33%
The average41°32°33%

Saturday, November 14

High 37°   Low 29°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°25°21%
US model (GFS)35°27°24%
European model (ECMWF)38°32°3%
German model (ICON)36°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)37°30°0%
The average37°29°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°24°0%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°2%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°33°0%
The average42°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.