Minority Report

Bloomfield, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greene County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 38°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 77 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 50%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°13%
US model (GFS)51°38°30%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°90%
Canadian model (GEM)52°37°67%
The average52°38°50%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°22%
US model (GFS)43°33°7%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°22%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°14%
The average43°34°16%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average48°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average50°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.