Minority Report

Bloomington, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 57 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°24%
US model (GFS)50°37°39%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°75%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°81%
The average51°38°55%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 27%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 27%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°25%
US model (GFS)43°33°14%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°39%
Canadian model (GEM)40°33°31%
The average43°33°27%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average47°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average50°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.