Minority Report

Bloomsburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Columbia County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 99%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°94%
US model (GFS)50°41°100%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°100%
German model (ICON)52°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°100%
The average53°39°99%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 35°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 90%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°31°82%
US model (GFS)41°35°70%
European model (ECMWF)40°35°100%
German model (ICON)40°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°96%
The average41°35°90%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 14%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°2%
US model (GFS)42°32°10%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°5%
German model (ICON)44°35°20%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°33%
The average44°33°14%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°1%
US model (GFS)44°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°4%
German model (ICON)45°37°2%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°0%
The average45°33°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.