Minority Report

Bluffton, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wells County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 42 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°58%
US model (GFS)48°40°65%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°100%
German model (ICON)47°40°73%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°100%
The average48°38°79%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 43%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°15%
US model (GFS)42°31°10%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°64%
German model (ICON)43°31°50%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°74%
The average42°31°43%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°9%
US model (GFS)43°31°8%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°23°5%
The average44°29°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°12%
US model (GFS)47°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°8%
German model (ICON)49°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°2%
The average47°35°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.