Minority Report

Boerne, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kendall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)72°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°57°0%
German model (ICON)73°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°55°0%
The average74°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°48°0%
US model (GFS)70°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)73°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°51°0%
The average74°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 55°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 69%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°53°64%
US model (GFS)66°51°54%
European model (ECMWF)69°55°92%
German model (ICON)63°56°68%
Canadian model (GEM)74°57°66%
The average68°55°69%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 54°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°48°75%
US model (GFS)68°59°60%
European model (ECMWF)72°53°94%
German model (ICON)72°54°60%
Canadian model (GEM)71°55°90%
The average70°54°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.