Minority Report

Boise City, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cimarron County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)70°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°41°0%
German model (ICON)70°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°40°0%
The average70°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°41°5%
US model (GFS)65°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°39°0%
German model (ICON)60°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°32°0%
The average61°38°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°85%
US model (GFS)48°38°86%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°100%
German model (ICON)45°41°70%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°76%
The average47°39°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 38°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 90 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 66%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°9%
US model (GFS)48°41°86%
European model (ECMWF)44°39°99%
German model (ICON)44°41°70%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°68%
The average45°38°66%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.