Minority Report

Boise, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ada County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)64°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°42°0%
German model (ICON)63°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°34°0%
The average65°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 48°   Rain 94%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°43°97%
US model (GFS)66°51°87%
European model (ECMWF)67°50°98%
German model (ICON)67°49°93%
Canadian model (GEM)67°48°95%
The average67°48°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 93 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°40°7%
US model (GFS)53°44°95%
European model (ECMWF)55°43°100%
German model (ICON)54°45°98%
Canadian model (GEM)53°41°100%
The average54°43°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°41°48%
US model (GFS)59°47°8%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°16%
German model (ICON)60°48°48%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°5%
The average59°44°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.