Minority Report

Bonham, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fannin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)74°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°51°0%
German model (ICON)74°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°47°0%
The average74°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°41°1%
US model (GFS)64°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°0%
The average64°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°57%
US model (GFS)60°40°20%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°57%
German model (ICON)57°40°54%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°13%
The average60°42°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 93%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°41°92%
US model (GFS)53°41°81%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°99%
German model (ICON)48°42°99%
Canadian model (GEM)52°41°95%
The average51°42°93%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.