Minority Report

Bonners Ferry, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Boundary County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°0%
US model (GFS)51°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°42°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°0%
The average56°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 12%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°47%
US model (GFS)59°42°4%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°39°3%
Canadian model (GEM)59°40°4%
The average58°39°12%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 52%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°47%
US model (GFS)49°44°42%
European model (ECMWF)51°39°25%
German model (ICON)53°42°65%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°83%
The average51°39°52%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 81%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°82%
US model (GFS)50°40°75%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°71%
German model (ICON)48°41°86%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°90%
The average49°37°81%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.