Minority Report

Boone, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Watauga County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 90 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 59%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°40%
US model (GFS)50°36°58%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°100%
German model (ICON)52°37°88%
Canadian model (GEM)51°37°10%
The average50°35°59%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 31°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 95 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 41%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°27°45%
US model (GFS)36°31°38%
European model (ECMWF)36°31°100%
German model (ICON)38°32°18%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°5%
The average38°31°41%

Saturday, November 14

High 33°   Low 26°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°24°27%
US model (GFS)32°27°8%
European model (ECMWF)32°26°63%
German model (ICON)34°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)34°26°0%
The average33°26°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 40°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°0%
US model (GFS)38°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)36°25°2%
German model (ICON)43°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°26°0%
The average40°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.