Minority Report

Booneville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Owsley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°33%
US model (GFS)55°44°79%
European model (ECMWF)56°43°100%
German model (ICON)57°45°98%
Canadian model (GEM)56°43°100%
The average56°43°82%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°65%
US model (GFS)46°34°55%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°90%
German model (ICON)45°39°70%
Canadian model (GEM)43°40°67%
The average45°36°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°5%
US model (GFS)46°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°5%
German model (ICON)45°35°18%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°14%
The average46°31°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°2%
German model (ICON)53°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average50°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.