Minority Report

Boston, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Suffolk County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 93%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°100%
US model (GFS)53°42°73%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°96%
German model (ICON)52°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)54°44°98%
The average54°43°93%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°35°81%
US model (GFS)45°37°90%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°100%
German model (ICON)48°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°100%
The average46°37°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 6%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°35°17%
US model (GFS)46°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°5%
German model (ICON)46°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°0%
The average45°34°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°36°1%
US model (GFS)47°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°2%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°0%
The average47°36°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.