Minority Report

Boulder, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Boulder County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)68°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°40°0%
German model (ICON)66°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°39°0%
The average67°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°38°1%
US model (GFS)66°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°37°0%
German model (ICON)62°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°38°0%
The average62°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 38°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°38°22%
US model (GFS)53°34°35%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°25%
German model (ICON)56°44°28%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°29%
The average52°38°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 14%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)56°35°12%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°11%
German model (ICON)56°43°22%
Canadian model (GEM)52°36°23%
The average54°36°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.