Minority Report

Boulder, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)58°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°38°0%
German model (ICON)63°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°0%
The average60°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°1%
US model (GFS)57°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°0%
German model (ICON)57°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average56°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°11%
US model (GFS)53°35°13%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°6%
German model (ICON)53°33°23%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°14%
The average54°33°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°2%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°27°0%
The average50°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.