Minority Report

Bowling Green, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Warren County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 20%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°6%
US model (GFS)58°40°22%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°20%
German model (ICON)58°41°40%
Canadian model (GEM)57°39°14%
The average57°39°20%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°13%
US model (GFS)43°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°12%
German model (ICON)45°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°0%
The average45°34°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average50°30°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°19°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.