Bowling Green, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Caroline County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 68° Low 45° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 42° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 48° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 68° | 46° | 73% |
| German model (ICON) | 67° | 44° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 46° | 5% |
| The average | 68° | 45° | 31% |
High 51° Low 36° Rain 5%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 32° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 36° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 40° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 35° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 38° | 2% |
| The average | 51° | 36° | 5% |
High 51° Low 33° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 36° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 30° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 36° | 5% |
| The average | 51° | 33° | 2% |
High 53° Low 33° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.