Minority Report

Bowman, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bowman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)37°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)40°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°0%
The average42°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)36°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)40°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°0%
The average43°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)50°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°33°0%
The average50°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°31°0%
US model (GFS)57°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°31°0%
The average57°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.