Minority Report

Boydton, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mecklenburg County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 46°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 33%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°3%
US model (GFS)70°44°16%
European model (ECMWF)68°48°59%
German model (ICON)68°48°78%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°10%
The average68°46°33%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°6%
US model (GFS)56°39°5%
European model (ECMWF)54°45°14%
German model (ICON)55°43°13%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°5%
The average56°40°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°5%
German model (ICON)52°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°5%
The average53°34°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)57°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average56°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.