Bradenton, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Manatee County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 77° Low 67° Rain 13%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 65° | 24% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 66° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 67° | 13% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 69° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 68° | 14% |
| The average | 77° | 67° | 13% |
High 73° Low 62° Rain 16%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 76° | 54° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 73° | 64° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 74° | 65° | 44% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 64° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 72° | 65° | 11% |
| The average | 73° | 62° | 16% |
High 65° Low 51° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 67° | 52° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 51° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 50° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 50° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 65° | 52° | 0% |
| The average | 65° | 51° | 0% |
High 73° Low 52° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 75° | 58° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 72° | 51° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 72° | 49° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 49° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 73° | 50° | 0% |
| The average | 73° | 52° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.