Minority Report

Brandenburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Meade County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°15%
US model (GFS)55°39°29%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°76%
German model (ICON)56°40°78%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°62%
The average55°39°52%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 35%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°42%
US model (GFS)46°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°58%
German model (ICON)47°34°28%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°33%
The average46°34°35%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°2%
The average49°30°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.