Minority Report

Brazil, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 59 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 46%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°15%
US model (GFS)48°37°23%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°74%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°71%
The average50°36°46%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°20%
US model (GFS)42°34°11%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°20%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°24%
The average43°33°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average48°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°20°0%
The average50°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.