Minority Report

Breckenridge, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wilkin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—18°0%
US model (GFS)40°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°26°0%
German model (ICON)39°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°23°0%
The average39°24°0%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°19°0%
US model (GFS)36°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°25°0%
German model (ICON)38°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)37°16°0%
The average37°22°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°24°0%
US model (GFS)44°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°26°0%
German model (ICON)42°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°19°0%
The average42°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°23°0%
The average50°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.