Minority Report

Brenham, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)78°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°56°0%
German model (ICON)76°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°53°0%
The average76°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°49°0%
US model (GFS)78°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°55°0%
German model (ICON)75°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°47°0%
The average76°52°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 51°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 34%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°53°37%
US model (GFS)69°50°16%
European model (ECMWF)68°54°67%
German model (ICON)62°51°41%
Canadian model (GEM)71°47°9%
The average68°51°34%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 53°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°50°82%
US model (GFS)72°55°59%
European model (ECMWF)60°53°87%
German model (ICON)62°52°79%
Canadian model (GEM)67°54°91%
The average65°53°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.