Minority Report

Brevard, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Transylvania County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°5%
US model (GFS)60°40°33%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°8%
German model (ICON)60°43°5%
Canadian model (GEM)60°40°5%
The average60°39°11%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°15%
US model (GFS)44°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°2%
German model (ICON)46°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°0%
The average46°33°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°21°0%
The average46°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)53°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°27°0%
German model (ICON)53°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°17°0%
The average52°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.